Well, all my punditry notwithstanding, I now have to admit that the POTUS selection in the federal election is a crapshoot.
The "conventional wisdom": the (D)onks have been on a roll signing up new voters. They are good at this. They have always been good at this. They use union members as an army and they get hundreds of thousands of voters registered. Some are illegal registrations, but the majority are legal. The GOP has been trying to keep up with this tsunami of new (D)onk voters, but my guess is that they can't.
The result tomorrow will probably show this same conventional wisdom, and the Bush lead of two weeks ago is gone, and maybe he is behind now, hard to say, the polls can't keep up that closely.
If all these new (D)onk voters vote, then Bush is toast. Sad but true. And I would not rail against this process, for, regardless of it's flaws, it is American and it is Democratic. The candidate with the most legal votes, as calculated in the Electoral College, wins. Now, if the (D)onks have signed up a bunch of illegal voters, then the GOP should challenge that, but the truth is, the judiciary that would hear those challenges is very liberal, so the beefs wouldn't survive.
This isn't cause for guns, this is cause for better planning next time.