...maybe the only edition.
Obama will lose the election. He will lose because of the same reason he was elected:
White Guilt
White Guilt put Obama into the Presidency in '08. This Nation really wanted to believe that integration had worked so well that a man of color could actually do the hardest job in the USA. I think they still want that. The "guilt" part came in because a lot of white folks (the vast majority of US voters are of the white race) felt bad that it took 145 years since the Emancipation Proclamation for a man of color to rise to the position where he could win the election and run the Nation. Despite knowing virtually nothing about Barack Obama, these guilt-laden whites projected competency onto him and voted for him in droves (herd behavior?), giving him the keys to drive the juggernaut that is America.
Four years later, the record is clear that Obama hasn't lived up to any of the expectations of those White Guilt voters who put him in office. There is a strong undercurrent of failed expectations here, and that undercurrent will pull Obama down, and put Mitt Romney in the office to replace him.
White Guilt gives, and White Guilt takes away if there is no fulfillment of the promises.
Prediction: Mitt wins in a landslide, with well over a 5% popular vote advantage, and well over 300 Electoral votes.
H/T to PawPaw for the VodkaPundit link.
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UPDATE: 110112 0935 PDT: You want a wonk's look at my prediction? Here it is. Very wonkish, but the author simply says that unless whites refuse to turn out in large numbers, Obama loses, and will likely lose badly. I love the author's football analogy: he says that if a bad matchup has a football game at 35-0 at the end of the first quarter, will you ever see a 140-0 result when the final whistle blows? You never do, but that is what it would take in this election to negate Obama's problem of whites voting their disgust at his performance, whereas they voted their hope for him in '08.
Actually, there are a lot of wonks making my prediction, when you read their wonkish details. None of them, Dick Morris included, have the brass ones to actually say it's the back side of '08 White Guilt that will do Obama in. They won't say that, because their literary higher-ups all subscribe to the PeeCee Style Book, which forbids any racial discussion involving the Won's politics.
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