All the pundits who won't speak their hearts are calling for almost a tie in the POTUS election.
I speak my heart, so I think the election will devolve to emotion, not all the political arguments which have been made over the past two years or so.
Emotion: You have a deep emotional attachment to Obama, so you will vote to re-elect him.
Emotion: You have a deep distrust of Obama, so you will vote for Mittens.
Okay, that much is fairly clear, and even has been discussed, ad nauseam.
Sub-rosa emotion: Your distrust of Obama is caused by your chagrin at getting carried away with "white guilt" in 2008 and helping vote him in. This emotion also translates as "fool me once..."
Bottom line: I spent 25 years copping on the mean streets (and mean rivers). My livlihood and indeed, survival, depended on being able to read emotions before taking police actions, because those actions are always determined by the level of emotion to be dealt with. My reading of the street-emotions is that there are sufficient voters who are in the "fool me once..." category, voters that pollsters and Obama pundits have already counted into Obama's projected victory and "four more", that the results are not going to reflect conventional political thinking. This will NOT be the Year of the Pollster.
I still think Obama is going to lose, and lose badly, and I'm not the only one who feels this way.
In four hours or so, we'll see. If Mittens has this sub-rosa emotion on his side (no, I don't call it racism, I call it a crisis of failed expectations), his victory will show up by 1900 PST, or 2200 EST. In other words, with the first returns will come a trend that it isn't going the pollsters' way, and it will all go gunnysack for Obama after that.
I could be wrong, but my guesses on street emotions have been good to me so far. Give me four hours, and we'll see...