Now that the leaders are all in jail, most likely having been ratted out by someone they thought was on their side, we can look at what succeeded and what failed in their mission.
Now comes the legal side of the Malheur Wildlife Refuge Incident. Again, the Feds are NOT doing the usual thing. After the bullets ordered by #ButcherOfBurns, OR Gov. Kate Brown subsided, and everyone surrendered out on the highway and were arrested, they were dragged to Portland and they appeared in Federal Magistrate's Court yesterday. The charges they did face? Feds stacked it up, right?
Wrong. The remaining rebels are each charged with ONE count of obstructing Federal Officers, a Class C or D felony which CAN be plead down to a misdemeaner (and probably will be, as I will explain). Notably, there are NO firearms violations charged, there are NO charges for the considerable theft/damage to Federal Property which occurred, and there are NO TERROR-RELATED charges (that's the biggie here). Now, in court, and you've seen this a million times on Wolf Films TeeVee shows, the arraignment prosecutor argued for no bail, argued dangerous peeps, argued out-of-state peeps, argued flight risk, all that, but additional hearings were set nearly immediately, so bail will likely be granted soon.
So, when #KorruptKate demanded that the occupation be terminated with extreme prejudice, it WAS, but only in the case of the firebrand Finicum, who, by the best accounts so far, seemed to desire Suicide By Cop, and got it. If you recall #KillerKate's speech in Salem last week though, she wanted the Federal book thrown at the occupiers, and SHE has been rebuffed. Oregon charges might be added, but for what? Being there? No, it's all Federal property, and the Feds want out of it and are getting out. Those additional Oregon charges, BTW, would have to be filed in Harney County, and no DA there wants to touch them.
End it, and give no opportunity for a showdown in Court later, those are the obviously the orders out of Washington. Martyrs are gonna seek martyrdom, that's what they do. NOW it makes sense that the Feds sought no warrants in Court. They could easily have gotten arrest warrants for a slew of felony charges, but didn't. Now I can see why. The handwriting was on the wall for the Feds when they saw the large and sympathetic crowd waiting for the Bundys and Finicum in John Day. This rebellion was about to spread. They stopped that, and now they want to deny the rebels their all-important soap box, and will likely succeed in that, too. There ARE some thinkers on the Federal side. Too bad they are stuck playing such a rigged game.
Bundy's success: he HAS raised the Federal Lands Debate to a National Discussion. It might even make it as a platform plank in the GOPe Party Platform this year.
Bundy's failures: He was never in command of his Militia. Finicum gave HIM orders. You can't lead from the rear, unless you INTEND to be a REMF*, which is terrible leadership. Bundy was NO logistician, supply for his mission was a major issue. G-2 (Intelligence) was a HUGE failure. Bundy's case should have resembled that of the French Partisans in WW2 because the locals were on his side for the most part, but he never involved them until right at the end, when he and Finicum put together the show in John Day that he was enroute to when the Feds decided to end his game. From Day One, Bundy should have talked to the local ranchers one at a time to determine friend from foe, and set possible new refuge ground if his first choice became untenable.
To the extent that the Feds are buddy-buddy with the press, the story will now go away, unless one of the major GOPe candidates wants to keep the Lands Issue alive as a campaign issue.
* REMF = Rear Echelon Mo-Fo, a derogatory term for those of rank/leadership in a war who never faced bullets. The term may have started in an earlier war, but it came into wide use in the Vietnam War.